http://dawn.com/2013/03/06/pakistan-far-from-being-an-economic-calamity/
LAHORE: State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Yaseen Anwar expressed full confidence in the country’s economy and was hopeful of its ability to pull through the difficult times facing it.
Speaking at the Naval War College on Tuesday, the governor described Pakistan’s current economic situation as “less than optimal” but said it was also “very far from what may be described as an economic calamity”.
“Pakistan has never defaulted on its international and domestic debts. In fact, the economy has grown consistently – though not spectacularly – over the past six decades despite periods of international alienation and sanctions, three expensive wars, two hostile fronts, regular political upheavals, social unrest, sharp increases in the price of oil, and much, much more,” the governor noted.
He said the SBP had always ensured that the financial system remained safe and stable. “The robustness of our financial system is a direct consequence of the reforms process and the bank’s constant vigilance,” he said.
He said there was a lot that could be improved in the country’s financial system and called for development of efficient debt markets, even better regulatory and reporting practices, and the broadening of financial sector’s scope to include largely un-banked sectors of the economy like agriculture, small and medium enterprises and housing.
“Despite this wish list, the fact remains that our financial system is by design secure and does not pose any threat to the economy as a whole,” he added. Informal Economy Harming Country
The governor pointed out that the size of Pakistan’s undocumented economy was – by some estimates – as large as the formal economy. “The informal economy does not file taxes and while it does absorb a significant chunk of the labour force, it also evades corporate and labour laws,” he said.
He said although close informal relationships did make the economy more resilient, they did so at a cost to the overall economy by eroding the ambit of the regulators.
“Ideally, we, at the SBP, would like to see a smaller informal economy, while society retains the structure that has made it so resilient,” he said.
He stressed the need for greater integration of country’s domestic market with global markets but observed it did not mean that we should not have proper controls and mechanisms in place to safeguard our own interests.
“Greater integration with financial markets will mean that capital will flow more quickly through our borders. It’s definitely something that will boost the economy, but, as most East Asian countries learned in the 90s, it can be a double-edged sword. Therefore, having some capital controls in place, which reduce the volatility of capital flows, is a necessary regulation in this day and age” he noted.
He also emphasised the need for more effective regulations for the economy and said it was an essential part of what was needed today to get the economy on a track for steady and sustainable growth. He said the government’s footprint in some sectors of the economy was very large, and quite negligible in other sectors.
“Such divergence is unhealthy. Effective regulation is sorely lacking in other sectors. The tax machinery can be tightened considerably. One of the country’s most challenging problems today is the size of the fiscal deficit – and a large part of the solution lies in increasing our tax base by enac-ting regulation that encourages tax compliance, and punishes tax evasion.”